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Analysis: The grave consequences of the UN’s failure in Lebanon
In a significant escalation, Hezbollah pummeled northern Israel on Wednesday with more than 200 rockets in the terror group’s largest single-day attack since the start of the war in Gaza. If the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) does not execute its mandated mission by stopping Hezbollah attacks on Israel and ensuring the group withdraws north of the Litani River, the steadily intensifying violence on Israel’s northern border could become a full-scale war with massive loss of life.
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Analysis: Taliban leader Sirajuddin Haqqani becomes a statesman
After meeting the ruler of the UAE, Sirajuddin Haqqani traveled to Saudi Arabia to attend the Hajj. His travel was approved by the international community. Official recognition is almost certainly to follow.
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Analysis: Hezbollah’s expected Response to IRGC-QF Gen. Mohammad Zahedi’s killing
Israel killed a senior IRGC officer in Syria. Iran, and possibly Hezbollah will avenge him – but without undermining their broader objective of rescuing Hamas and its partners in Gaza.
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Analysis: The consequences of US weakness in Iraq and Syria
Tehran is threatening new attacks in the Middle East after the April 1 Israeli airstrike in Damascus that killed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander responsible for smuggling weapons to Lebanon. Analysis of Iranian-backed attacks and U.S. responses in recent months makes clear that a U.S. failure to hit back hard will simply invite more Iranian attacks and risk more American casualties.
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Analysis: Islamic State’s current da’wah campaign across Africa
In Mali and Mozambique, the Islamic State’s men are putting guns away and engaging with locals to help sensitize communities to its ideology and garner public support. In doing so, this highlights the extent of its control and/or influence.
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Analysis: Despite significant losses in Gaza, Hamas has yet to unleash an ace up its sleeve
Hamas has yet to employ a game changing weapon in this current conflict and that is conflict at the Al Aqsa Mosque.
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Analysis: Islamic State strikes in western Uganda
The Islamic State’s Central Africa Province, known locally as the Allied Democratic Forces, or ADF, mounted its second attack in western Uganda since last Friday. The mobile unit currently operating inside Uganda represents the first sustained guerrilla presence in the country since 2007.
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Analysis: Setting the stage for Mali’s near future
As of Sept. 2023, the future of Mali looks bleaker than ever. If you’re a jihadist, however, then the future is very bright.
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Analysis: Post Jenin Operation, Questions Linger About the State of the West Bank
Despite the largest Israeli military operation in the West Bank since the Second Intifada, the state of the West Bank remains in question.
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Analysis: Shabaab takes advantage of slowed counter-offensive
In the face of delayed or stalled offensive action taken against it, Shabaab seeks to rally its forces.
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Analysis: Israel, Islamic Jihad, and Other Palestinian Armed Groups Enter Conflict
Israel eliminates members of Islamic Jihad’s leadership in an effort to restore deterrence lost since the last year’s operation in Gaza.
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Analysis: Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb encourages its Sahelian wing to continue fighting the Islamic State
Abu Yasir al-Jaza’iri, an Algerian ideologue in al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, offers the group’s harshest rebuke of the Islamic State to date.
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Analysis: Iran Leverages Armed Groups Against Israel
In a coordinated effort, Iran has supported, funded and encouraged its network of armed groups on Israel’s borders to launch attacks.
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Analysis: U.S. Military kills key Islamic State leader in Africa
U.S. Special Operations Forces killed Bilal al-Sudani, a key Islamic State operative responsible for coordinating the group’s finances and activities across central, eastern, and southern Africa (and beyond).
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Analysis: West Bank Violence Trending Upward
After a brief lull in violence during the month of November, West Bank militant groups have increasingly carried out attacks against IDF troops and Israeli settlements in recent weeks.
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Analysis: The Lions’ Den and the Future of Militant Activity in the West Bank
In recent days, Israeli operations have targeted key members of the nascent Nablus-based Lions’ Den organization.
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Analysis: Al Qaeda ideologue calls for jihad in Sudan, provides guidelines
Abu Hudhayfah al Sudani, a veteran member of al Qaeda, calls on youth in his native Sudan to unite and form a cohesive jihadist front to combat the Sudanese government. He provides the prospective jihadis a step-by-step guide on how to do so.
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Analysis: Thirty hour long hotel siege emblematic of Somalia’s remaining security challenges
Shabaab’s recent hotel siege in Mogadishu, beginning on Friday and ending early Sunday, signals the severe challenges that remain in combating the al Qaeda branch.
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Analysis: Shabaab’s multi-day incursion into Ethiopia
In addition to recently striking two Ethiopian outposts inside Somalia right on the border with Ethiopia, Shabaab also launched a three-day incursion into Ethiopia itself. On the Ethiopian side, officials from the Somali Region have stated that Shabaab was attempting to assist an ethnic Oromo insurgent group. This claim is likely dubious but follows a clear historical precedent.
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Analysis: Hamas Publishes Information on an Israeli Held Captive Since 2015
For the first time, Hamas has published information on an Israeli-Bedouin held in captivity since 2015 in an effort to revitalize negotiations of a prisoner swap with Israel.
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Analysis: Understanding the Militant Groups Behind the Violence in the West Bank
A rising trend in Palestinian militant activity in the West Bank has been ongoing since last year. Nascent organizations have been established as a method to counter IDF troops operating in the West Bank.
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Analysis: Wave of Terrorism in Israel Continues, Hamas’ Role Becoming Evident
After six weeks of high-profile terrorist attacks in Israel that have left 18 dead, Hamas’ role in the wave of terrorism is becoming increasingly prominent.
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Analysis: Hamas-Led Militant Groups Create Strife at Al-Aqsa Mosque
Hamas and other Palestinian militant groups provoked clashes at Al-Aqsa Mosque in order to destabilize the already tense security situation left in the wake of four high-profile terrorist attacks in Israel.
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Analysis: Palestinian Factions Respond to IDF Operations, Exploit Terror Wave
Palestinian militant factions in the West Bank have responded aggressively to IDF raids and have exploited recent terror wave in Israel.
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Analysis: Islamic State targets Uganda with bombings
The Islamic State has claimed a series of bombings, including suicide bombings, inside Uganda over the past month. This represents a significant shift in the overall threat from the Islamic State’s wing based in the DRC.
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Analysis: Islamic State confirms Sahelian leader’s death, criticizes Al Qaeda
Coming roughly a month after France reported it had killed Abu Walid al Sahrawi, the Islamic State’s leader in the Sahel, the Islamic State itself has finally subtly confirmed the reports. The jihadist group has not publicly named a successor.
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Analysis: The Surge in Militant Activity in the West Bank
The May conflict in Gaza and the recent escape of militants from an Israeli prison have spurred militant groups to become more active in the West Bank.
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Analysis: The Islamic State’s expansion into Congo’s Ituri Province
While most of the Islamic State’s operations have been based inside Beni territory of Congo’s North Kivu Province, it has steadily expanded into neighboring Ituri Province since June.
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Analysis: Gaza’s militant-led border riots
Under the guise of civilian protest, Palestinian factions have waged a military campaign at the Gaza border for more than three years in order to pressure Israel into financial concessions.
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Analysis: Hezbollah’s Escalating Conflict with Israel
Israel finds itself in an escalation with Hezbollah after a string of rocket attacks from southern Lebanon.
