Breaking: Farah main chowk have fallen to Taliban. People came out to greet & take selfies with Taliban. Watch the video pic.twitter.com/3ViFIevO8O
— Ahmad Yar (@Pashtunist) May 15, 2018
The Afghan Taliban launched a large-scale assault overnight on the capital city of Farah province and overran an intelligence headquarters and several police checkpoints. Afghan security forces responded rapidly to the city to fight off the Taliban with support from Coalition aircraft and other assets.
The Taliban assault on Farah City should put to rest any claims by the US military that the Taliban is losing ground in Afghanistan.
Heavily armed Taliban fighters, using captured Afghan military HUMVEEs and police pickup trucks, launched the coordinated assault on Farah City overnight from multiple directions, according to local reports. ATN News reported that “at least three parts of the city came under the control of Taliban,” while Pajhwok Afghan News noted that “the rebels had captured the 3rd police district and stormed the intelligence department.” Taliban fighters also reportedly attacked the hospital and killed two police officers who were receiving treatment, and may also be advancing on the prison.
Afghan officials and the Ministry of Defense have painted a brighter picture of the fighting in Farah City. According to MoD spokesman General Mohamamd Radmanish, Taliban forces have been stopped on the outskirts of the city and are two miles from the city center, Khaama Press reported. Radmanish noted that “a large number of militants have taken part in the attack” and “scores of militants have also joined the Taliban from the other parts of the country and the neighboring provinces.”
Basir Salangi, the governor of Farah province, who took over in January after his predecessor resigned due to the deteriorating security situation, claimed the Taliban failed to capture any government buildings and will “soon they will be thwarted from the city.”
“The situation is not concerning and with the arrival of commando forces they (Taliban) will be defeated Inshallah,” Salangi said, according to TOLONews.
Resolute Support, NATO’s command in Afghanistan, also downplayed the Taliban assault on Farah City and claimed it “remains under govt. control.”
“The ANDSF [Afghan National Defense Security Forces], supported by US Air Force, including US Air Force A-10s are on the offensive against Taliban,” the command tweeted.
#Farah city remains under govt. control. #ANDSF, supported by @USFOR_A #airpower, including @usairforce A-10s like one pictured, are on offensive against Taliban. @MoDAfghanistan has stated Afghan security forces are bringing their full capabilities to bear. #AFGStrong #ForAFG pic.twitter.com/LaM12izx6D
— Resolute Support (@ResoluteSupport) May 15, 2018
Resolute Support made similar claims when the Taliban overran Kunduz City in 2015 and 2016, and stated the city was under government control when in fact the Taliban occupied it.
The Taliban is neither “desperate” nor “losing ground”
Today’s assault on Farah City should put to rest the US military’s assertion that the Taliban is on the path to defeat. At a May 3 Pentagon press briefing Pentagon Chief Spokesperson Dana W. White described the Taliban as “desperate” because it is “losing ground.” Additionally, White said that over the last year, “things are moving in the right direction.”
Yet, the Taliban has launched multiple attacks on district centers and now controls or contests nearly 59 percent of the country’s 407 districts, according to ongoing tracking by FDD’s Long War Journal. Farah City is one of several provincial capitals that is directly threatened by the Taliban. Ghazni City, Kunduz City, Lashkar Gah, and Tarin Kot are also directly threatened by the Taliban, which has amassed forces on its outskirts and controls or contests multiple districts around the city centers.
Resolute Support has downplayed its assessments of the status of many of Afghanistan’s districts. For instance, Farah City is considered to be “government influenced,” yet the Taliban clearly have had the resources to threaten it (LWJ has long assessed Farah City to be contested). Ghazni City is considered “government controlled,” yet all reporting from the city indicates it si contested, or worse (LWJ also has long assessed Ghazni City to be contested).
Resolute Support has also downplayed the Taliban’s control of more rural districts. At the end of March, Resolute Support spokesman Captain Tom Gresback claimed that Taliban operations in remote district centers “represent a significant lowering of ambition,” as the Taliban failed in its strategic goal of seizing provincial capitals.
Gresback repeating what General John Nicholson, the commander of Resolute Support, said two months prior. In Jan. Nicholson claimed Afghan forces had a successful 2017 beacuse it “[denied] the Taliban any of their stated battlefield objectives … In 2017 the Taliban failed to take any provincial capitals.”
However, Nicholoson falsely attributed a strategic goal to the Taliban that it never claimed. (For more background on this, see Afghan and Coalition forces prepare for 2018 offensive against the Taliban.)
The Taliban has explicitly stated that part of its strategy is to take control of remote areas in order to pressure more populated areas, including district centers and provincial capitals. In fact, this strategy was explained by Mullah Aminullah Yousuf, the Taliban’s shadow governor for Uruzgan, in April 2016.
Today’s assault on Farah City highlights the importance of the Taliban’s strategy to control rural areas, and the failure of the US military to properly acknowledge that threat.
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Two of the greatest Colonial powers (three if you include Macedonia’s Alexander) have been befuddled , beaten and smart enough just to pass on by the almost tribal but certainly focused local opposition at no greater than the platoon level. Most recently the Soviet Russians decamped and march north leaving their anointed head of government in the lurch. The other nation to which I refer was Great Britain.
The Russian exodus doomed the Gorbachev regime and gave way to Yeltsin and his capitalist-like reforms.
The best we can hope for is a cut rate price on the removal of infrastructure. In that country our small forces are surrounded by national enemies — Iran, Russia, China, Pakistan
This is what happens when you rid the country of the draft and conceal the costs and the casualties of an all volunteer force.
Have 300 Taliban fighters so far died in the battle of Farah city? This appears to be a major batttle:
There are reports that the Taliban succeeded in temporarily capturing an NDS office. Is this confirmed? If so, what intelligence were they able to obtain from the NDS office before being evicted?
The attack on Farah city appears to have temporarily disrupted the ANSF offensive in Helmand and Kandahar. How soon will these offensives be re-initiated?
I know of no evidence that either Kunduz City nor Lashkar Gah are in danger of falling at this time. Lashkar Gah being more secure than Kunduz City.
One reason for why Ghazni city is in danger is that 203rd Corps appears to have been pruned of cadre for the ANASF expansion. The pruning of cadre from 205th Corps has also endangered Tarin Kot, Uruzgan.
I say that everything (as far as the Taliban are concerned) hinges on the opium trade. The legit Afghans need to stay focused. Where are the Taliban getting their weapons, ammo and other supplies from? Could it be most likely black market purchases from former Cold War warehouses just across the border (i.e., the now dubbed “Russian Fed”)?
What I can’t understand is why are we supplying these far-flung Afghan forces with our own weapons and supplies? Why not high bid whatever the Taliban are offering for them and give those to the legit Afghans? At least then if the Taliban end up with them they won’t be from US. After seizing it from the Taliban, why not low bid the sale of the opium production crop to the major pharmaceutical firms? I’m almost willing to bet that everything over there (at least as far as the Taliban are concerned) hinges on the proceeds from the opium harvest.
In the wake of the 9/11 attacks, they predicted that the war on terror would be like the war on drugs. How true that has turned out to be. In my own assessment, that’s where the football may well lie in this whole matter (the opium production).