Sheik Sharif Sheik Ahmed vows to stay in Somalia. The TFG is in discussions with local clan leaders in Mogadishu for civil governance arrangements. Ethiopia pledges troop withdrawal from Somalia within weeks.

[UPDATE 2]Ibrahim Adow, an ICU foreign affairs official, is said to have flown to Kenya. Other leaders are said to have “fled to Djibouti, Eritrea, and other locations.” Some ICU leaders are believed to be in Kismayo, “distributing their weapons and their fighters among the clan elders.” Yemeni forces fired on 4 boats smuggling people from Somalia, and two were sunk.

The Somalia Battlefield on 12/28/2006. Light blue – Ethiopian & TFG advances. Green – ICU territory. Orange – recent clashes. Click image to view. ICU leaders flee to unknown location; Ethiopian and TFG troops enter the capital After less than two weeks of fighting against Ethiopian and Somali government forces, the al Qaeda backed Islamic Courts Union has fled the capital of Mogadishu for part unknown. Ethiopian armored columns and forces of the Transitional Federal Government have now been sighted entering the Somali capital of Mogadishu. “Hassan, an eyewitness says he now sees Ethiopian armored vehicles and tanks passing by…

Somalia: Air Djibouti officer found dead in Kismayo

The ICU has abandoned Mogadishu, and Aweys and Sharif have resigned (more at the New York Times.) al Qaeda in Iraq urges Muslims to fight in Somalia. The UN has failed in its bid to broker a peace deal with warring factions.

Islamists Seem to Give Up Grip on Somali City

The Somalia Battlefield on 12/27/2006. Light blue – Ethiopian & TFG advances. Green – ICU territory. Orange – recent clashes. Click image to view. Aweys, Sharif, resign; the TFG and Ethiopian forces are on the outskirts of Mogadishu Nine days after the onset of open warfare between the al Qaeda backed Islamic Courts and the Ethiopian backed Transitional Federal Government, the Islamic Courts have surrendered. “After having crucial and urgent meeting tonight in the capital, the leaders of executive and Shura councils of Islamic Courts Union and deputy leader of executive council of ICU, Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys, Sheik Sharif…

The Islamic Courts are retreating from strategic towns in south and central Somalia, and the Ethiopians are firing on retreating fighters. The UNSC is set to meet on Somalia today, while the African Union supports Ethiopian involvement.

The Somalia Battlefield on 12/26/2006. Light blue – Ethiopian & TFG advances. Green – ICU territory. Orange – recent clashes. Click image to view. Ethiopian and TFG forces take Dinsoor, Burhakaba; ICU indicated it is planning an insurgency The Islamic Courts are in near-full retreat in central and southern Somalia after 8 days of fighting against the Ethiopian military and the Transitional Federal Government forces. Ethiopian and TFG forces have broke the cordon around western Biadoa, and have advanced as far west as Burhakaba after heavy fighting. “The [Islamic Courts] left battle wagons and large quantity of military supplies behind,”…

Ethiopian planes bombed Balidogle military airfield and the Mogadishu airport. European Union condemned the escalation of conflict in Somalia. The Arab League called for Ethopia to remove all of its forces.

Somali PM confident of victory over Islamists

The Somalia Battlefield on 12/25/2006. Light blue – Ethiopian & TFG advances. Green – ICU territory. Orange – recent clashes. Click image to view. The Islamic Courts has lost strategic territory as the Ethiopian Army and Transitional Federal Government marches towards Mogadishu After one full week of fighting between the al Qaeda backed Islamic Courts and the internationally recognized Transitional Federal Government of Somalia, backed by Ethiopia, the TFG appears to be gaining the upper hand after some bloody fighting in south and central Somalia. The deciding factor at this point in time is the Ethiopian Army and Air Force.…

Ethiopia intervenes in Somali civil war

Islamic Courts controlled cities and towns marked in red. Click map to view. The ICU attacks in Puntland and claims to have advanced to 7 miles from Baidoa, the Ethiopians strike in Beletweyn The Battle for town Baidoa, the seat of government of the beleaguered Transitional Federal Government of Somalia, and greater Somalia has entered its sixth day. Both the Ethiopian backed TFG and the al Qaeda supported Islamic Courts Union are claiming military victories during the battles on multiple fronts in central Somalia. The fog of war is making it difficult to determine the veracity of these claims.

The ICU claims to have captured Idale and to have killed dozens of Ethiopians. Independent journalists are supporting the claim. Artillery and mortar fire is still being reported near Idale, as ICU leader Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys joins the call for foreign fighters. The ICU is also complaining the Ethiopians are using “excessive force,” indicating it may be taking heavy casualties as well.

The final showdown is taking place in Somalia between the Islamic Courts Union, backed by al Qaeda, and the Transitional Federal Government, backed by Ethiopia Islamic Courts controlled cities and towns marked in red. Click map to view. For months, the al Qaeda backed Islamic Courts Union has been preparing the battlefield for the final push on Baidoa, the seat of power of the internationally recognized Transitional Federal Government. In a well planned operations to militarily isolate the TFG in Baidoa, the ICU has strategically maneuvered its forces around the city, and pushed its militias into surrounding towns and along…

Afghanistan Again: Somalia Falling to Al Qaeda

Fighting continued around Baidoa in Idale, Dinsor and Daynunay Friday. Local reports indicate an Ethiopian convoy is on its way to Baidoa, which appears to be nearing its final stand.

ICU and al Qaeda forces under the command of Abu Talha al-Sudani launch attack on Baidoa on 3 sides – Burhakabo, Idaale and Dinsor. Both claim victory but heavy fighting continues. The ICU claims to be in control of Idaale now. Independent reports that 70 ICU and jihadists killed.

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The ICU appears to be backing down on an ultimatum for Ethiopian to withdraw from Somalia. Yemen is attempting to broker a peace agreement between the ICU and Ethiopian. A TFG minister claims no government militias defected to the Islamists. The ICU has arrested two more reporters in Mogadishu.

The chairman of the ICU and the TFG parliament speaker met in Yemen. A Puntland Islamic Courts is urging Somalis to fight the Ethiopians. A bomb was detonated behind a Mogadishu hotel owned by a “leading Islamic Courts ally and financer,” and may have targeted an ICU official.

Civilians flee the area of Baidoa as both the TFG and UIC prepare for combat. The ICU-issued deadline for Ethopians to leave the country by Tuesday draws closer. Pakistan issued a denial that it supports the UIC.

Thousands of ICU fighters have surrounded Baidoa, the only remaining town under the control of Somalia TFG. Somali Prime Minister Ali Mohamed Gedi claims that as many as 3,000 foreign fighters are fighting alongside the ICU with more arriving every day.
