The renewed conflict in Lebanon has settled into a static pattern, despite remaining intense. Israel has narrowed its immediate war aims, while Lebanon remains unable to restrain Hezbollah, which remains defiant. This dynamic of impasse has led the international community to effectively tolerate the situation in Lebanon.
The renewed Lebanon war shows no sign of abating. Lebanon has yet to match its stern pronouncements on Hezbollah with equally tough enforcement, with the Lebanese military openly defying Beirut’s orders to disarm the group. Hezbollah has expressed its commitment to continue fighting in deed and word, including by pledging loyalty to Iran’s new supreme leader. Israel has responded by intensifying its operations as part of what it expects to be a long war against Hezbollah.
The November 27, 2024, ceasefire agreement in Lebanon has officially ended. Israel and Hezbollah are now reengaged in a full conflict after the group attacked Israeli territory on March 2. The Israelis have responded ferociously, targeting large swathes of Lebanon and promising that their campaign will continue until Hezbollah’s destruction.