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Reflections on the state of Iran - a lost year?



Here's a summary of some interesting commentaries on the state of Iran one year after the rigged presidential election last summer:

Foreign Policy's Jonathan Schanzer unpacks a story coming out of Rai al Shaab -- the unofficial newspaper of Sudan's opposition -- reporting that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' Quds Force is operating a secret weapons factory on the outskirts of Khartoum. According to Schanzer:

Although Rai al-Shaab's news item is still unconfirmed, the long history of military cooperation between Sudanese President Omar Hassan al-Bashir and the Islamic Republic certainly places it within the realm of possibility. Indeed, the mullahs have been helping Sudan expand its terrorist infrastructure since Islamists (led by the aforementioned Turabi) brought Bashir to power through a coup d'état in 1989.

• Charles Krauthammer in the The Washington Post addresses "The myth of Iran's isolation." He argues that engaging with Tehran in the hope of either influencing its policies or, failing that, incurring its isolation by the rest of the world, has produced no tangible results:

Hence, nearly a year and a half of peace overtures, negotiation, concessions, two New Year's messages to the Iranian people, a bit of groveling about U.S. involvement in the 1953 coup and a disgraceful silence when the regime's very stability was threatened by peaceful demonstrators. Iran's response? Defiance, contempt and an acceleration of its nuclear program.
• Yale historian Walter Russell Mead writes a provocative piece in The American Interest titled "Goo-Goo Genocidaires: The Blood Is Dripping From Their Hands":
[President Obama's] current policy of seeking sanctions while gathering international support is less a policy than a way of marking time. There is no clear and obvious way forward, and Iran is doing everything it can (with Hamas, with Turkish and Brazilian diplomacy, with anything else it can gin up) to muddy the waters and throw the US off-track. As President Obama and Secretary Clinton try to make the agonizing decisions that almost inevitably lie ahead, I'm afraid the appeasers will be back. We can neither threaten Iran now nor seek regime change, they will say. It's all our fault anyway because we outraged Iranian nationalism by our thoughtless acts in the past. If we can simply understand Iran's legitimate concerns and give it what it rightfully wants then it will calm down. After all, it is only aggressive and hostile because the poor dears feel so threatened. These arguments have led to millions of deaths and launched world wars in the past. Neither President Obama nor anybody else should listen to them.

• Senator John McCain expresses solidarity with the Green Movement in The New Republic. In a deftly presidential tone, the former presidential candidate states:

We-the government and the people of the United States-need to stand up for the Iranian people. We need to make their goals our goals, their interests our interests, their work our work. We need a grand national undertaking to broadcast information freely into Iran, and to help Iranians access the tools to evade their government's censorship of the Internet. We need to let the political prisoners in Iran's gruesome prisons know that they are not alone, that their names and their cases are known to us, and that we will hold their torturers and tormentors accountable for their crimes. We need to publicize the names of Iran's human rights abusers, and we need to make them famous. Then we need to impose crippling sanctions on them for their human rights abuses-to go after their assets, their ability to travel, and their access to the international financial system, which is exactly the goal of legislation that I and others have proposed.

• UK Foreign Secretary William Hague writes in the London Times that "the clock is ticking on Iran":

This isolation is entirely of the Iranian Government's own making. Over the past year it has continued to enrich uranium far above the level needed for a civil nuclear power programme, defied UN resolutions and accumulated a stockpile of enriched uranium sufficient to build a nuclear weapon over time. Nothing that Iran's Government has done in recent months alters these facts. While we welcome the recent efforts to secure a deal to supply fuel to an Iranian research reactor (a deal Iran originally walked away from), this deal never addressed the wider concerns over its programme. Tehran knew that new sanctions would follow if it did not comply with United Nations resolutions and for it to assert otherwise is a distortion.

• "Iran's Revolutionaries Are Winning," says Reza Aslan in The Daily Beast:

The truth is that the Green Movement was never actually dead. On the contrary, the broad coalition of young people, merchants, intellectuals, and religious leaders that took to the streets to protest the reelection of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad a year ago this week has been spectacularly successful in achieving the one goal that they all had common: the de-legitimization of the Iranian regime. Put simply, the Green Movement, through its blood and sacrifice, has convinced almost all Iranians, regardless of their piety or their politics, that the Islamic Republic in its current iteration is neither Islamic nor a republic.


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