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Mullah Baradar capture 'a lucky accident'



The New York Times has the scoop on the capture of Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, the Afghan Taliban's deputy commander. According to the Times, Baradar's capture was "a lucky accident":

When Pakistani security officers raided a house outside Karachi in late January, they had no idea that they had just made their most important capture in years.

American intelligence agencies had intercepted communications saying militants with a possible link to the Afghan Taliban's top military commander, Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, were meeting. Tipped off by the Americans, Pakistani counterterrorist officers took several men into custody, meeting no resistance.

Only after a careful process of identification did Pakistani and American officials realize they had captured Mullah Baradar himself, the man who had long overseen the Taliban insurgency against American, NATO, and Afghan troops in Afghanistan.

New details of the raid indicate that the arrest of the No. 2 Taliban leader was not necessarily the result of a new determination by Pakistan to go after the Taliban, or a bid to improve its strategic position in the region. Rather, it may be something more prosaic: "a lucky accident," as one American official called it. "No one knew what they were getting," he said.

Read the full article. If true, and in my opinion the article answers many unexplained questions, then it certainly explains quite a bit. Primarily, if the Pakistanis were serious about decapitating the Afghan Taliban's leadership cadre, much of the Quetta Shura would be in custody by now; so why hasn't this happened yet?

There is also an important fact in that article: the arrest was made by "Pakistani counterterrorist officers," who are from the counterterrorism branch of the ISI. This branch is supported by the US, and is considered reliable by US intelligence officials.

The counterterrorism branch has been viciously targeted by the Taliban and al Qaeda. Its offices have been hit with complex suicide attacks in Islamabad, Lahore, Peshawar, and Khyber. Like many institutions in Pakistan, the ISI is a divided entity, with old-school factions on the one hand that support the Taliban, Lashkar-e-Taiba, and other terrorist entities, and, on the other hand, groups that recognize the dire threat those terrorist entities pose to the Pakistani state.



READER COMMENTS: "Mullah Baradar capture 'a lucky accident'"

Posted by Civy at February 19, 2010 3:29 AM ET:

Good work Bill. The existence of factions within the ISI was the heart of my question several months ago with regard to the captured Taliban "shot in the crossfire" while being brought in for interrogation. Thanks for the answer.

Posted by Minnor at February 19, 2010 4:27 AM ET:

If he was recognised after one week of capture, Taliban would have realised the arrest and made all the intelligence stale. If this is true this is foolishness Taliban to have no resistance in place of evasion of commander.

I dont understand any use of anti-bush propoganda now. They tell Obama pressed hard, and Pak acted. Rather I see it is as a nation US that is fighting war, they realized about Pak haven little late, and started Drone and Bajaur offensive in mid 2008. That is after sorting out Iraq.

Posted by Guptan Veemboor at February 19, 2010 8:46 AM ET:

So many different versions of this 'capture' is being circulated. It could be very well that these different versions are purposely made to hide the real thing. You have mentioned that if Pakistan was serious about decapitating the Quetta Shura many of the top ones would have been in custody and it has not happened. It is impossible that a No.2 taliban chief will spill the beans. It has also been reported that Baradar is a moderate Taliban, one best suited for a peace talk. He is with CIA/ISI for facilitating a peace agreemnt. He is the hot-line to Mullah Omar.

Posted by T Ruth at February 19, 2010 9:24 AM ET:

"LIFE IS WHAT HAPPENS TO YOU WHILE YOU ARE BUSY MAKING OTHER PLANS."

Credit to the great John Lennon!

Posted by Ghost Watcher at February 19, 2010 1:19 PM ET:

Picking threw the pieces....shall we find the story?

Taliban chief arrested at checkpoint
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f4f14de4-1b09-11df-88fa-00144feab49a.html?nclick_check=1