1 The Long War Journal: Race tightens between Iraq's Maliki, Allawi

Written by Bill Roggio on March 17, 2010 3:55 PM to 1 The Long War Journal

Available online at: http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2010/03/race_tightens_betwee.php

With more than 80 percent of the in-country vote counted by the Independent High Election Commission, the race between Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki's State of Law Coalition and former Prime Minister Iyad Allawi's secular Iraqi National Movement (Iraqiya) party is in a virtual dead heat. The charts below provide a look at the likely distribution of seats in parliament; the percentage of votes received by the major parties nationwide; and the votes received by the top three parties by province, excluding the three Kurdish provinces. The vote percentages by province have changed only a few points, if any, since the last round of data was released last weekend. See LWJ report, "Maliki, Allawi surge in Iraq's early vote count," for additional analysis.

Click chart to view the likely distribution of seats among Iraq's major parties. Source: "Predictions Based on Partial Results: Allawi Emerges as a Possible Front-Runner," Iraq and Gulf Analysis.

Click chart to view the percentage of national vote, by party. Source: "Results: Iraq's 2010 parliamentary election," The Majlis

Click chart to view early results of Iraq's 2010 parliamentary election for the top three parties. The voting data for the Kurdish provinces of Dohuk, Irbil, and Sulimaniyah have been excluded as the Kurdish Alliance is dominating the polls. Source: "Partial Election Results for 13 Governorates Released by IHEC," Historiae.org